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2024-12-13 05:35:30

It is understood that there will be no big risk on our exchange rate side at the moment, and the stock market will not be as pessimistic as everyone thinks, and there are enough bullets.Let's talk about the macro, the first is economic transformation, the second is the speed of our debt conversion and an obvious progress, and the other is the increase of gold holdings and our long-term debt and confidence in economic recovery.Concentrate on doing big things while deploying the market. When the normal operation of the economy is in the inflation range, the market has higher strength and efficiency in resource allocation, then the market has the final say. When it is in the shrinking range, the market deployment fails, such as our current long-term debt, so it is driven by policies. We must know that next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan to solve the debt. We must know the buyout reverse repurchase operation of 800 billion yuan some time ago, unless


On the other hand, we look at the "dual track system" separately from the currency. Recently, there is a message that I don't know if you have paid attention to it, that is, the place.Well, I wish you all a smooth investment in the new week. Some of the contents are a bit so, and you can go to the public snowball if you can't see it. I wish you all a good account.It is understood that there will be no big risk on our exchange rate side at the moment, and the stock market will not be as pessimistic as everyone thinks, and there are enough bullets.


It is necessary to adjust the interest rate of 10/30 bonds in the future. The yield of the anchor 10-year government bonds priced by capital assets fell below 2%. Remember the spread between stocks and bonds we talked about? This is a good phenomenon. Before, A shares were not anchored by this anchor, which also confirmed that the initial intention of this round of "bull market" was the re-pricing of RMB assets. This 2% is equivalent to a calm lake. Real estate, stocks and other assets are all canoes above, but you can see that the stock market is declining, so there is bound to be a factor accelerating. Is real estate?Finally, let's talk about value investment. You can read a book called "Smart Investor". There is almost no value investment at this time. The so-called core assets you eat are his growth attributes, while the value itself puts forward that Graham, the teacher of investor Buffett, was born in a big era and was originally a manufacturing industry. It is very simple how much your computer room equipment is worth. As long as your stock is lower than this price, there is a margin of safety. This is the meaning of value investment itself, and the current company value is very high. I don't know who cared about dpi in the primary market in 15 years. I only care about the dream value, and why a large number of institutions like to buy Maotai, because it is the company with the simplest financial statement in the whole A-share market (except the one that runs scallops), and its price-earnings ratio, spread, poor growth rate and valuation center are all good ways to evaluate, including some ETFs that have fallen into transformers.So for next week, since it's super week, we'd better respect it, such as lowering positions, unloading leverage, meetings, and our cpi. This expectation can all go to 0.5, and the cpi of America is expected to go to 2.7. If these two important data are added to a meeting, the capital market will fluctuate violently, and there will be two turning points of re-inflation. Here's a data, remember what we said a long time ago.

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